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Bruins vs. Penguins Prediction & Picks - March 3

Pittsburgh Penguins v Tampa Bay Lightning

Photo: Mike Carlson / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Boston Bruins (33-21-5) and Pittsburgh Penguins (31-15-13) face off at TD Garden on Tuesday, March 3 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Bruins fell to the Philadelphia Flyers 3-1 in their last outing, while the Penguins are coming off a 5-0 victory over the Vegas Golden Knights.

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here's our pick for which team will bring home the win in Tuesday's hockey action.

Over the past 10 games, the Penguins are 7-1-2. They have totaled 43 goals, while allowing their opponents to score 24. They have gone on the power play 24 times during that span, and have capitalized with five goals (20.8% of opportunities).

Bruins vs. Penguins Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projections model for this contest expects a final score of Bruins 4, Penguins 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Bruins (-120)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Penguins (+1.5)

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Bruins Splits and Trends

  • The Bruins have a 33-21-5 record overall, with an 8-5-13 record in contests that have needed overtime.
  • In the 20 games Boston has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 12-6-2 record (good for 26 points).
  • In the eight games this season the Bruins recorded only one goal, they went 1-6-1 (three points).
  • Boston has finished 3-7-0 in the 10 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering six points).
  • The Bruins have scored more than two goals 41 times, and are 29-8-4 in those games (to record 62 points).
  • In the 27 games when Boston has recorded a lone power-play goal, it went 14-10-3 to record 31 points.
  • In the 21 games when it outshot its opponent, Boston is 9-9-3 (21 points).
  • The Bruins' opponents have had more shots in 36 games. The Bruins finished 24-10-2 in those matchups (50 points).

Penguins Splits and Trends

  • The Penguins have a 31-15-13 record this season and are 4-13-17 in matchups that have needed overtime.
  • Pittsburgh has earned 19 points (7-6-5) in its 18 games decided by one goal.
  • This season the Penguins recorded only one goal in five games and have gone 0-2-3 (three points).
  • Pittsburgh has earned four points (0-5-4 record) this season when scoring exactly two goals .
  • The Penguins have earned 68 points in their 41 games with at least three goals scored.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in 20 games has a record of 10-6-4 in those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Pittsburgh has posted a record of 14-10-8 (36 points).
  • The Penguins have been outshot by opponents in 22 games, going 12-5-5 to register 29 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Bruins Rank Bruins AVG Penguins AVG Penguins Rank
9th 3.36 Goals Scored 3.42 5th
19th 3.12 Goals Allowed 2.8 6th
22nd 26.9 Shots 29 9th
27th 29.9 Shots Allowed 27.2 11th
4th 26.01% Power Play % 26.75% 3rd
27th 76.74% Penalty Kill % 84.3% 2nd

Bruins vs. Penguins Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Tuesday, March 3, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts

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